He wants the US at war before the sea change. once elected or close enough to it Harris can change her tune.

30-60g is a very very noticeable amount

Just gonna tell tweakers those things are full of copper

Harris has left it down to the margin on the issue of Gaza. I expect a pivot from here on Oct 12th, at which point I think she’ll have it locked up.

We’re about 2 weeks out from there literally being no other option.

Meh.

I mean it’s not like the feds caught him with the whale head on the hood of the family Subaru.

Did he do the thing? Almost assuredly. But where does this all go? Most importantly, this guy isn’t qualified to be President. I kinda wish he would have leaned into the Joe rogan carnivore identity to steal a few more from Trump, but this guys cooked. What does opening a case do here?

Instructions unclear. Bank account emptied by looking at link.

Yeah some of my team members use hf and it really does represent a convenience (basically a GitHub for models), but I’m sure to be clear we can’t rely on them alone. I don’t trust any company to exist or not be bought out and enshittified in 3 years.

Turkey: If the US won’t enforce its own rules we will.

Turkey, the USs’ most reliable allie in the Middle East (even when they elect rw chucklefucks) since basically ever.

Calling Israel an allie when they lied to get us into a war with Iraq is a fucking disgrace to countries that have actually held with the US.

(Oh Israel has also bombed US ships while being an “allie”. not sure if more aggreguous than Bibi’s testimony.)

Interesting. If judges are going to be political regardless, I don’t see another option for democracies.

Finland, Sweden, and Norway

Cold.

That’s exactly right. Top of funnel to bottom of funnel conversion.

I’m basing my metrics on what I’ve personally seen trying to get people to convert in fundraising for leftist political causes. Depending on the mission, messaging, we had some hits. But generally, less that one percent. Getting some one to give you their money isn’t that different than asking them to sign up to vote. It’s pretty onerous of they haven’t done it before. You also have to hit them multiple times with the same message, from different sides, to get them to do something like show up in person.

I’m not able to say where I came up with the gratuitous 10%, but I’d like to pretend Taylor has ⭐ ✨ power over the Swifties. However, reality is you gotta stay on people with involvement and repeated messaging, reminders, deep engagement to keep them “activated”. I’m not sure a one and done from Taylor does that. But I’d rather enjoy a nice fantasy that she’s able to grow the electorate a smidge in a few key states. that’s far more fun.

Israel must think they’ve got US Congress and presidency on lock. No need to continue to escalate.

maybe 20-40k votes across GA, NC, FL?

That’s with a gratuitous 10% conversion rate. Real rates are typically sub 1%. 3% would be phenomenal.

10k however is plenty depending on where in a state like NC or GA

it’s probably around 1.5% of the vote she’s leaving on the table?

Not an unsurmountable number, but easily closer than you would want to do in any kind of competitive election.

Unforced error. At the end of the day, AIPAC doesn’t vote.

I mean, you might be engaging in that.

But it wasn’t people saying that you needed to vote for Biden or else, that saved Democrats from themselves this election.

Well now the blue maga are shitting blood about how anyone who wants Kamala to have a more electable position on Israel Gaza is a Russian agent.

Fascist apologists gonna fascist apologise.

I put up a comment about it yesterday, but I’m predicting Oct 12- 16th for a pivot.

Specifically, these debates mostly nothing At this point, if you were going for Trump, there is no debate performance that is going to change that. Likewise for Harris voters. As well, we’re just about past the point where voter registration is going to change anything. Just about the last 2 weeks of September and the state which matter won’t be accepting new registrations.

So it’s down to people that are likely voters who are still withholding for some policy positions.

No need to imagine. It was barely a bit more than a month ago.

And to be clear, those who are trying to beat people into submission in the issue of genocide were the same who tried to beat people into submission on the issue of Biden s ability to win. They where wrong them. They’re wrong now.